Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.688903 0.880947 1.096736 1.354391 1.650893 1.978770 2.366076
2025-08-10 0.417202 0.653652 0.954056 1.350871 1.848613 2.440375 3.184924
2025-08-17 0.238790 0.472137 0.810235 1.302691 1.969716 2.812097 3.926065
2025-08-24 0.155440 0.386628 0.764507 1.361634 2.220151 3.353608 4.906031
2025-08-31 0.092367 0.301986 0.693187 1.364097 2.384560 3.786916 5.767357
2025-09-07 0.062233 0.262680 0.681854 1.448708 2.665229 4.385958 6.868729
2025-09-14 0.039258 0.223099 0.657087 1.503305 2.900019 4.928423 7.911869
2025-09-21 0.022470 0.184091 0.620274 1.527966 3.085245 5.404100 8.876198
2025-09-28 0.010338 0.142278 0.561882 1.501443 3.181753 5.749919 9.666201
2025-10-05 0.004944 0.118378 0.536103 1.529491 3.365022 6.227004 10.651742
2025-10-12 0.001852 0.096092 0.505025 1.540177 3.516159 6.657671 11.579116
2025-10-19 0.000308 0.071164 0.453398 1.497751 3.568705 6.935203 12.288009
2025-10-26 0.000004 0.051411 0.406880 1.459453 3.628081 7.230834 13.041770
2025-11-02 NaN 0.039939 0.382895 1.468194 3.772932 7.666695 14.015823
2025-11-09 NaN 0.027060 0.340592 1.423345 3.811875 7.931486 14.738311
2025-11-16 NaN 0.023478 0.341655 1.489202 4.067275 8.557264 16.021879
2025-11-23 NaN 0.017354 0.321184 1.493467 4.200604 8.984037 17.008991
2025-11-30 NaN 0.016031 0.331403 1.584335 4.511576 9.715243 18.478099
2025-12-07 NaN 0.013562 0.330465 1.642829 4.759044 10.345029 19.800446
2025-12-14 NaN 0.010435 0.319327 1.669271 4.941249 10.868015 20.964995
2025-12-21 NaN 0.006624 0.292120 1.641195 5.006918 11.192280 21.823242
2025-12-28 NaN 0.004933 0.283870 1.671068 5.195983 11.732787 23.029515
2026-01-04 NaN 0.003344 0.270854 1.682455 5.344666 12.205171 24.133727